Monday, May 27, 2024

Euroskeptic Federalism: Obstructing the E.U.'s Recognition of Palestine

Just because U.S. federalism deposits foreign policy exclusively with governmental institutions at the federal level does not mean that that domain cannot be shared between state and federal governments in a federal system. This was precisely the case in the E.U. as it struggled to come up with a unified response to Israel having ignored the verdict of the World Court—the UN’s court—ordering Israel to cease and decease from invading Rafah from May 24, 2024 onward. Meanwhile, two of the E.U.’s states were poised to recognize Palestine. Such emphasis on the state governments playing the leading role is fraught with difficulties even though in theory there is on reason why foreign policy cannot be a competency, or domain, that is shared at the state and federal “levels.” In federalism, the federal and state governmental systems are on par, rather than one of the governmental systems being above the other, so “levels” is misleading. Even so, a lot can be said for delegating foreign policy to the federal level. This can be seen from the state and federal reactions in the E.U. as Israel continued its invasion of Rafah just after the World Court had ruled that Israel would be violating international law and the UN’s charter in continuing the offensive.

Two E.U. states, Ireland and Spain, were poised to recognize Palestine as a sovereign country—34,000 dead and 800,000 on the brink of starvation in Rafah had in the judgment of the two E.U. state governments paid sufficient dues to be recognized as a distinct nation rather than as a part of Israel. Rather than urging the European Council to meet to take a decision on a federal policy on Israel as it ignored the verdict of the World Court and even bombed a Palestinian re-settlement camp, the E.U.’s foreign minister, Josep Borrell, merely “threw his full weight to support the International Criminal Court,” whose prosecutor was “seeking an arrest warrant against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu” and Israel’s defense chief.[1] Borrell didn’t even mention the verdict of the UN’s court ordering Israel to cease its invasion of Rafah. Even so, Borrell’s criticism of the Israeli vitriol against the prosecutor may be sufficient to justify a federal response to Israel, especially considering its bombing of the resettlement camp. “The prosecutor of the [ICC] has been strongly intimidated and accused of antisemitism—as always when anybody, anyone does something that Netanyahu’s government does not like,” Borrell said.[2] Israel’s foreign policy chief even accused the government of Spain of continuing the Inquisition and even with “rewarding terror” in recognizing the Palestinian state.[3]

The accusation of “rewarding terror,” which alludes to the anti-occupation guerilla operation of Hamas on October 7, 2023, blatantly ignores the terror inflicted subsequently by Israel mainly on Palestinian civilians in Gaza that went well beyond the number of Israelis killed and taken hostage in October. The implication is that Israel had the right to inflict “collective justice” on an entire population many times over, and thus that any resistance internationally could only be borne of prejudice against Jews and an intention to reward Hamas for its October incursion. Were John Locke, a European philosopher of the seventeenth century, alive, he would doubtless tell the world, Look, I told you that a victim should not be entrusted with carrying out its notion of justice on a victimizer. I would add that the victimizer in this case had long been the victim because of the Israeli occupation of Gaza (and the West Bank). The E.U. could at least have taken a stance against Israel’s infliction of its warped notion of reciprocity, rather than leaving it to the state governments.

At this point, I need to get very precise to convey the depth of the sordid mentality that I contend calls out for both federal and state condemnation in the E.U. On May 24, 2024, the UN’s top court ordered: “Israel must immediately halt its military offensive and any other action in Rafah which may inflict on the Palestinian group in Gaza conditions of life that could bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part.”[4] Months before, Michael Fakhri, the UN’s leading expert on food, had warned that Israel was intentionally starving Palestinians in Gaza by restricting aid even after the International Court of Justice had ruled that Israel could not do so. “Intentionally depriving people of food is clearly a war crime,” Fakhri said in February, 2024; “Israel has announced its intention to destroy the Palestinian people, in whole or in part, simply for being Palestinian.”[5] The Human Rights Watch organization had reported in December, 2023 that several Israeli cabinet ministers had made statements in public “expressing their aim to deprive civilians in Gaza of food, water, and fuel.”[6] Back in October after Hama’s attack, the president of Israel had publicly stated that every resident of Gaza could justifiably be blamed for the incursion. John Locke was right: given human nature, victims should not be allowed to enact their own sense of justice. In ignoring two rulings of the UN’s top court, the Israeli government demonstrates that Locke’s political theory can (and should) be extended to the international level.

Two degrees of separation exist between the ruling of the International Court of Justice on May 24, 2024 and Israel’s bombing of a resettlement camp just days later. “Footage obtained by CNN showed the camp in flames, with scores of men, women and children frantically trying to find cover from the nighttime assault. Burned bodies, including those of children, could be seen being pulled by rescuers from the wreckage.”[7] It should be stressed that the camp was for residents who had already been displaced. Literally, there was no where for the people already displaced to go. Because the attack, made incidentally without warning, occurred in clear violation of the UN court’s recent verdict—and the Israeli ambassador to the UN had just a week or so earlier shredded a copy of the UN charter at the podium of the General Assembly—the very validity of the UN itself and especially its court could not have suffered a more blatant defeat. The very notion of international law without an enforcement power had been reduced to being an oxymoron.

Just because U.S. federalism deposits foreign policy exclusively with governmental institutions at the federal level does not mean that that domain cannot be shared between state and federal governments in a federal system. This was precisely the case in the E.U. as it struggled to come up with a unified response to Israel having ignored the verdict of the World Court—the UN’s court—ordering Israel to cease and decease from invading Rafah from May 24, 2024 onward. Meanwhile, two of the E.U.’s states were poised to recognize Palestine. Such emphasis on the state governments playing the leading role is fraught with difficulties even though in theory there is on reason why foreign policy cannot be a competency, or domain, that is shared at the state and federal “levels.” In federalism, the federal and state governmental systems are on par, rather than one of the governmental systems being above the other, so “levels” is misleading. Even so, a lot can be said for delegating foreign policy to the federal level. This can be seen from the state and federal reactions in the E.U. as Israel continued its invasion of Rafah just after the World Court had ruled that Israel would be violating international law and the UN’s charter in continuing the offensive.

Two E.U. states, Ireland and Spain, were poised to recognize Palestine as a sovereign country—34,000 dead and 800,000 on the brink of starvation in Rafah had in the judgment of the two E.U. state governments paid sufficient dues to be recognized as a distinct nation rather than as a part of Israel. Rather than urging the European Council to meet to take a decision on a federal policy on Israel as it ignored the verdict of the World Court and even bombed a Palestinian re-settlement camp, the E.U.’s foreign minister, Josep Borrell, merely “threw his full weight to support the International Criminal Court,” whose prosecutor was “seeking an arrest warrant against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu” and Israel’s defense chief.[8] Borrell didn’t even mention the verdict of the UN’s court ordering Israel to cease its invasion of Rafah. Even so, Borrell’s criticism of the Israeli vitriol against the prosecutor may be sufficient to justify a federal response to Israel, especially considering its bombing of the resettlement camp. “The prosecutor of the [ICC] has been strongly intimidated and accused of antisemitism—as always when anybody, anyone does something that Netanyahu’s government does not like,” Borrell said.[9] Israel’s foreign policy chief even accused the government of Spain of continuing the Inquisition and even with “rewarding terror” in recognizing the Palestinian state.[10]

The accusation of “rewarding terror,” which alludes to the anti-occupation guerilla operation of Hamas on October 7, 2023, blatantly ignores the terror inflicted subsequently by Israel mainly on Palestinian civilians in Gaza that went well beyond the number of Israelis killed and taken hostage in October. The implication is that Israel had the right to inflict “collective justice” on an entire population many times over, and thus that any resistance internationally could only be borne of prejudice against Jews and an intention to reward Hamas for its October incursion. Were John Locke, a European philosopher of the seventeenth century, alive, he would doubtless tell the world, Look, I told you that a victim should not be entrusted with carrying out its notion of justice on a victimizer. I would add that the victimizer in this case had long been the victim because of the Israeli occupation of Gaza (and the West Bank). The E.U. could at least have taken a stance against Israel’s infliction of its warped notion of reciprocity, rather than leaving it to the state governments.

At this point, I need to get very precise to convey the depth of the sordid mentality that I contend calls out for both federal and state condemnation in the E.U. On May 24, 2024, the UN’s top court ordered: “Israel must immediately halt its military offensive and any other action in Rafah which may inflict on the Palestinian group in Gaza conditions of life that could bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part.”[11] Months before, Michael Fakhri, the UN’s leading expert on food, had warned that Israel was intentionally starving Palestinians in Gaza by restricting aid even after the International Court of Justice had ruled that Israel could not do so. “Intentionally depriving people of food is clearly a war crime,” Fakhri said in February, 2024; “Israel has announced its intention to destroy the Palestinian people, in whole or in part, simply for being Palestinian.”[12] The Human Rights Watch organization had reported in December, 2023 that several Israeli cabinet ministers had made statements in public “expressing their aim to deprive civilians in Gaza of food, water, and fuel.”[13] Back in October after Hama’s attack, the president of Israel had publicly stated that every resident of Gaza could justifiably be blamed for the incursion. John Locke was right: given human nature, victims should not be allowed to enact their own sense of justice. In ignoring two rulings of the UN’s top court, the Israeli government demonstrates that Locke’s political theory can (and should) be extended to the international level.

Two degrees of separation exist between the ruling of the International Court of Justice on May 24, 2024 and Israel’s bombing of a resettlement camp just days later. “Footage obtained by CNN showed the camp in flames, with scores of men, women and children frantically trying to find cover from the nighttime assault. Burned bodies, including those of children, could be seen being pulled by rescuers from the wreckage.”[14] It should be stressed that the camp was for residents who had already been displaced. Literally, there was nowhere for the people already displaced to go. Because the attack, made incidentally without warning, occurred in clear violation of the UN court’s recent verdict—and the Israeli ambassador to the UN had just a week or so earlier shredded a copy of the UN charter at the podium of the General Assembly—the very validity of the UN itself and especially its court could not have suffered a more blatant defeat. The very notion of international law without an enforcement power had been reduced to being an oxymoron.

Meanwhile, the E.U. was hamstrung at the federal “level,” thus leaving it to a few state governments to take the heat from Israel—vitriol that itself could be characterized as reverse-prejudice. In no way, form, or manner could objections to Israel’s warped notion of collective “justice” and its abject dismissal of the two verdicts of the UN’s top court be characterized as anything akin to the Nazi prejudice against the Jews. Accordingly, the moral impetus of the German government to defend Israel had been paid in full and so even that state could act salubriously in recognizing a Palestinian state and castigating Israel’s government as an ongoing instance of state-sponsored terror. German guilt no longer needed to forestall a federal E.U. policy, and the stakes in terms of the severity of the Israeli government’s dangerous mentality practically demanded such a policy. For the E.U. could hardly count on the U.S. to be the world’s “policeman”; the Biden administration and the Congress had squandered that role in aiding and abetting Israel’s overkill. The U.S. president’s claim that prosecution of Netanyahu at the ICC would be “outrageous” is startling enough; Netanyahu’s need to one-up the president by claiming that such prosecution would be “beyond outrageous” just shows how right Locke was. The world should have the means to enforce international law against a government that is out of control, whose self-awareness is so abjectly warped in defensiveness, and such a government’s ally should by no means be tasked internationally with being the world’s policeman just because it carries a big stick. Indeed, the U.S. was enervating international law by shipping weapons to Israel and thus enabling a bruised bully on the world stage, thanks to the campaign war-chest of the AIPAC (American Israeli Political Action Committee) and the unprincipled fecklessness of the American federal government and the vast majority of its electorate. Clearly, the E.U. could no longer count on the U.S. to police the world, for the “policeman” had become an accomplice.

In short, if even such atrocious behavior as regard the International Court of Justice and the civilians in Gaza as Israel’s Netanyahu and his government relentlessly evinced with utter impunity could not bring forth a foreign policy at the federal level of the E.U., then something must surely have been wrong regarding the ability of the E.U. to have foreign policy at all. Making such policy too difficult at the federal level risks Europe being torn asunder by a foreign evil when it can be claimed that the E.U. has a moral imperative to act as the “adult in the room” to stop an evil power abroad, especially given the fecklessness of international law and courts at the time.  


1. Raf Casert, “E.U. Ties with Israel Nosedive Ahead of Spain, Ireland Recognizing Palestinian State,” The Huffington Post, May 27, 2024.
2. Ibid.
3. Ibid.
4. Abbas Al Lawati, “UN’s Top Court Orders Israel to ‘Immediately’ Halt Its Operation in Rafah,” CNN.com, May 24, 2024 (accessed on May 27, 2024).
5. Nina Lakhani, “Israel Is Deliberately Starving Palestinians, UN Rights Expert Says,” The Guardian, February 27, 2024.
6. Israel: Starvation Used as Weapon of War in Gaza,” Human Rights Watch, December 18, 2023.
7. Mohammad Al Sawalhi et al, “Israeli Strike that Killed 45 at Camp for Displaced Palestinians in Rafah a ‘Tragic Mistake,’ Netanyahu Says,” CNN.com, May 27, 2024.
8.Raf Casert, “E.U. Ties with Israel Nosedive Ahead of Spain, Ireland Recognizing Palestinian State,” The Huffington Post, May 27, 2024.
9. Ibid.
10. Ibid.
11.Abbas Al Lawati, “UN’s Top Court Orders Israel to ‘Immediately’ Halt Its Operation in Rafah,” CNN.com, May 24, 2024 (accessed on May 27, 2024).
12. Nina Lakhani, “Israel Is Deliberately Starving Palestinians, UN Rights Expert Says,” The Guardian, February 27, 2024.
13. “Israel: Starvation Used as Weapon of War in Gaza,” Human Rights Watch, December 18, 2023.

Saturday, May 11, 2024

Chinese President Xi Exploits a Vulnerability of the E.U.

Chinese President Xi Jinping visited Europe in May, 2024 “amid concerns in Europe over Chinese support for Russia’s war in Ukraine and European markets being flooded with cheap Chinese electric vehicles.”[1] Although these matters were at the time properly matters for the E.U. rather than its states, Xi oriented his visit to the state level, and in particular to states including France and Hungary that had “special bilateral relationships” with China.[2] In other words, the Chinese leader sought to exploit the E.U.’s vulnerability wherein state governments have sufficient sovereignty to undermine the federal level. I contend that the state leaders should have refused to meet with Xi, redirecting him to meet with federal officials.

There were indeed “growing suspicions that China” was “seeking to take advantage of divisions in Europe,” which could weaken the E.U. even in its competencies (i.e., enumerated powers).[3] According to Bertram Lang, a research associate at Goethe University, China had “gradually divided Europe into two groups, ‘those friendly and unfriendly to China.’”[4] Accordingly, Xi began his trip in France to speak with that state’s president, Emmanuel Macron, even though discussions on trade imbalances with the E.U. should have taken place with E.U. officials. “Macron sought to demonstrate European unity by including European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen,” as if the E.U. Commission were a guest or third party on the E.U.’s trade.[v] In other words, Macron’s accommodation could hardly count as deference.

It is not as if the E.U. were incompetent in one of its own competencies. Von der Leyen “took direct aim at what she called China’s ‘market distortion practices’ with massive subsidies for electric vehicle and steel industries.”[6] In fact, the Commission announced that “it would launch anti-subsidy probes into Chinese electronic vehicles and solar panels to determine whether to impose punitive tariffs on them.”[7] Neither Macron nor any other official at the state level pertained to the probe, and yet Macron agreed to meet with Xi.

The undermining of European unity and the E.U. itself by state officials agreeing to play into the divisive tactics of foreign governments is a good argument for E.U. institutions having the authority to limit the involvement of the state governments in foreign policy as concerns E.U. matters, or competencies. Especially as the E.U. was at the time looking at enlargement sometime in the future, the vulnerability of too much state power in federal matters, including the need for unanimity, was something that the E.U. strongly needed to address before enlargement. That Xi was able to exploit the weakness only adds to need to seek a more balanced dual sovereignty in the E.U. It runs against human nature to rely on the deference of state leaders to E.U. officials on federal matters when foreign leaders lure the limelight in front of the state politicians. Therefore, I contend that the E.U. Commission’s president should have had the power to redirect Xi from Macron and other state leaders on E.U. trade.


1. Yuchen Li and Wesley Rahn, “Did China’s Xi Jinping Expose Disunity in Europe?” Deutsch Welle (DW.de), May 10, 2024.
2. Ibid.
3. Ibid.
4. Ibid.
5. Ibid.
6. Ibid.
7. Ibid.

Wednesday, May 1, 2024

The Lion in the Desert

In 1929, after nearly 20 years of facing resistance in Libya, Benito Mussolini, the Fascist ruler of Italy, appointed General Graziani as colonial governor to put down the military resistance of Libyan nationalists led by Omar Mukhtar. Graziani was ruthless, and fortunately he was arrested when Mussolini was toppled. His foremost atrocity was putting over a million Libyan civilians in a camp in a desert, with the intent to starve them in retaliation for the guerilla fighters objecting to the Italian occupation. The film, The Lion of the Desert (1980), faithfully depicts the historical events that took place in Libya from 1920 to 1931. The sheer arbitrariness other than from brute force in the occupation and the impotence of the League of Nations are salient themes in the film.


The full essay is at "The Lion in the Desert."

Saturday, March 23, 2024

Democracy Waning in Former French Colonies in Africa

The subversion of democracy in former French colonies in Africa stymies the African Union from developing from a mere confederation, wherein all of the governmental sovereignty resides with the states, to modern federalism, whose chief characteristic is dual sovereignty. There is good reason for the requirement in the U.S. that the states be republics rather than dictatorships, for the latter would be more likely to ignore the federal jurisdiction within their respective states.

As of 2024, the president of Senegal “tried to cancel an election. In Niger, a military coup d’état toppled an elected president, who eight months later [was] still imprisoned in the presidential palace. In Chad, the leading opposition politician was killed in a shootout with security forces. . . . In Tunisia, once the only democratic success story of the Arab Spring rebellions, the president [was] steering the state toward increasing autocracy.”[1] With such political upheaval going on at the state level, any discussions at the AU level on whether the states should delegate any governmental sovereignty would only be stymied and thus useless. This in turn kept the AU impotent in being able to act as a check against tyranny at the state level. This vicious cycle cannot, I contend, be totally blamed on the former colonial status and the ongoing interventions of France, though both have been playing a secondary role.

To the extent that French governmental pressure led the former colonies to mimic the French system of government wherein the office of president is strong, France is culpable in inhibiting democracy in Africa. “After they won independence from France in the 1960s, nascent states modeled their constitutions on France’s, concentrating power in presidents’ hands.”[2] This statement implies that the former colonies wanted a system of government with a strong unitary leader. That the indigenous political culture in Africa emphasized the tribal chief figure likely figured prominently in the decisions to emulate the French system, rather than it being imposed from France.

To be sure, “France maintained a web of business and political ties with its former colonies” that has involved “propping up corrupt governments”—including autocratic ones.[3] The salience of news reports from Africa on France24 and TV5Monde alone attest to France’s continuing interest in Africa. France could arguably make a difference in reducing political instability and enhancing democracy in the former colonies were autocratic rulers and coups discouraged rather than encouraged. Perhaps French government officials fear, and thus seek to prevent, the potential rival power of the AU that could manifest were political stability improved at the state level. Such a narrow perspective would differ significantly from the American position that a stronger union in Europe is in America’s interest, especially considering the cost to America in having fought two World Wars in part in Europe.

Even if France has been propping up cozy autocratic rule in the former colonies, the disillusionment with democracy has been stronger in the former French colonies than in other African states, according to Boniface Dulani, a director at Afrobarometer.[4] “While a majority of Africans polled [in 2024] still say they prefer democracy to other forms of government, support for it is declining in Africa, where approval of military rule is on the rise—it has doubled since 2000. That shift is happening much faster in former French colonies than in former British ones.”[5] Such sentiment may be a preferment for political stability precisely because of the extent of political instability in the former French colonies. In an indigenous soil of tribal chieftains, the allure of a “strong man” to restore and maintain political stability could easily thrive even though it would come at the cost of political freedom. Perhaps in the former British colonies, with the notable exception of Sudan, there is less reason to bear the cost of foregone political freedom. “Eight of the nine successful coups in Africa [between 2000 and 2024] have been in former French colonies.”[6] The coups themselves reinforce the allure of autocratic rule as providing for political stability, even though such stability can only be until the ground shifts again enough for the next coup. This cycle too is difficult to break. In the meantime, the AU has been stuck as a mere confederation, powerless to provide a breakthrough. 

It is not for nothing that the founders of both the U.S. and E.U. emphasized that the states be democratic republics. This lesson finds harder ground where the historical culture is not in line with democracy. So perhaps the quest for the AU might be how to go from being a confederation to embrace modern, dual-sovereignty, federalism by making it in the interest of state-level dictators even though a system of modern federalism would include viable constraints of the power of the states. Delaying the constraints so the current dictators would not face federal strictures would be key, as well as the inevitable political deal-making that is basic to any political animal.


1. Ruth Maclean, “Democracy Teetering in African Countries Once Ruled by France,” The New York Times, March 23, 2024.
2. Ibid.
3. Ibid.
4. Ibid.
5. Ibid.
6. Ibid.


Tuesday, March 5, 2024

Decolonializing the Baltic States: Exculpating a “Victim” Identity

On how to decolonize Eastern Europe, its states must disentangle themselves from the history of the U.S.S.R. and even Russia. This is not simply a matter of severing business and political ties; a more intangible disengagement “mentally” must also take place. Because most of us tend to dismiss the “soft” or paradigmatic side of international political economy, highlighting the “real” implications of not attending to this side is beneficial. In short, I have in mind the “victim” cultural identity that can easily stick to former colonies or parts of empires more generally.

During the early months of Russia’s unilateral invasion of Ukraine, the governments of countries in Eastern Europe, including the Baltic states, sought reassurance from the West of military protection should Russia continue its militaristic advance beyond Ukraine once that country has been subdued and firmly back in the Russian empire. Even Sweden and Finland, which had not been part of the U.S.S.R., quickly sought membership in NATO. Serbia and Georgia sought to expedite accession talks to become E.U. states even though from the E.U.’s standpoint those two states would be relatively pro-Russia along with Hungary in the E.U. and thus dilute its anti-Russian consensus.

All of those efforts could be said to be predicated on a “victim” identity. Running for protection from a bigger power against a former and yet baleful bully is classic “victim” behavior. This creates a dilemma in that running for cover might be in the existential interests of the governments living near such a bully as Russia, and yet doing so can be said to be from a “victim” self-identity.  Lamenting and trying to “work through” past imperial expansion does not seem very helpful to me. Instead, what is needed is to seek protection and then quickly pivot to non-victim policies, such as in taking an active role within the protection. For example, the Baltic states could have taken an active role in E.U. foreign-policy making, such as in capitalizing on their knowledge of Russia to target particular sanctions against certain Russian oligarchs. Internationally, those states could take an active role by agreeing to more of the alliance’s hardware being located in those states. Eastern Europe can thus both seek out the protection of the West and assert a non-victim stance toward Russia. 

Wednesday, February 28, 2024

India on Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: On the Flawed Hegemony of Political Realism

India took an equivocal position on Russia’s invasion. This is surprising at first glance because India has been so concerned to protect its sovereign territory from baleful encroachments from China. What explains India looking the other way as Russia unilaterally invaded a sovereign state? I contend that the explanation supports the assertion that the world could no longer afford its system based on national sovereignty if political realism is in the driver’s seat at the national level.

According to Sumit Ganguly of Indiana University, one of my alma maters, the USSR was a vital partner of India during the Cold War. The Soviet Union was willing to sell weapons to India for cheap in order to keep China from expanding. For spare parts, India still has to go to Russia and is thus dependent on that country and the good will of its government. No country could ween itself away from a provider of military hardware quickly.

Furthermore, Ganguly noted in a talk in 2024 that India had a history of buying oil from Russia, and this continued during Russia’s invasion in spite of the Western embargos of Russian oil. The U.S. is in part to blame because it would sanction India were it to buy oil from Iran or Venezuela. At the time of the Russian War, India was still a poor country even as its high tech industry was expanding. Russian oil was relatively cheap. Also, India could point to the American hypocrisy in having relations with some sordid, autocratic regimes. This can explain why the government of India was well-aware during Russia’s war in Ukraine that by buying Russian oil and selling it to the EU and US, India was undermining the embargoes. Saudi Arabia was doing likewise, and yet the Biden administration held that both countries were allies of the United States. Everyone was looking primarily or even solely at their own interests.

Ganguly has also pointed out that in Indian culture, there is an obsession for multipolarity: there should be several global powers rather than just one biggie. Therefore, there is a willingness to work with Russia, which could serve as a check on hegemonic American power. This is not to say that Indian culture had any affinity whatsoever, Ganguly insists, with internal Russian politics. Nevertheless, India has had China as its principal long-term threat, and India’s government has recognized for a long time that Russia could act as a check on China.

All of this goes to say, political realism was alive and well as the world adjusted to Russia’s aggressive invasion of Ukraine. In realism, each government orients its foreign (and industrial) policy tightly to the national interest rather than also to cooperate with other governments in the interests of a global order in which international law can be more effectively enforced. The international system is just the aggregate of the self-interests of governments; aggregated parts make up the whole. With human rights suffering from a want of international enforcement in Ukraine as well as in Gaza, the want of international attention in a system of sovereign countries on tightening that system to enhance the enforcement of international law suggests that political realism has become insufficient. Climate change and the risk of nuclear war, which Russia has threatened in the context of Ukraine, only add to the argument that the world could no longer afford an international order that rests on national sovereignty to which political realism is the dominant operating system in governments.

Friday, February 23, 2024

On the Role of Agribusiness in Global Warming

Agriculture is a major source of carbon and methane emissions, which in turn are responsible for the general trend of the warming of the planet’s atmosphere and oceans. In fact, agriculture emits more than all of the cars on the roads. 10 percent of the emissions carbon dioxide and methane in the U.S. come from the agricultural sector. Livestock is the biggest source of methane. Cows, for example, emit methane. Methane from a number or sources, including the thawing permafrost, accounted for 30 percent of global warming in 2023. As global population has grown exponentially since the early 1900s, herds of livestock at farms have expanded, at least in the U.S., due to the increasing demand.[1] We are biological animals, and we too must eat. More people means that more food is needed, and the agricultural lobby in the U.S. is not about to let the governments require every resident to become a vegetarian. Indeed, the economic and political power of the large agribusinesses in the U.S. have effectively staved off federal and state regulations regarding emissions. It comes down to population, capitalism, and plutocracy warping democracy.

In the early 80s, the farm lobby in the U.S. “began to get concerned about environmental regulations” and made sure the FDA would not regulate American farms.[2] The EPA has delegated permits to the States, but they have been “uneven in issuing permits. In 2009, a law barring the EPA from applying clear air regulations to livestock” took effect.[3] The agriculture lobby has thus been “extremely effective.”[4] This has been so even in spite of the Paris Agreement reached in 2016, and the steadily increasing average global temperatures. A U.S. Government-sponsored report admits that increased demand/consumption of meat impacts climate change, which in itself is interesting given all the political donations and lobbying by the agribusiness companies in the U.S., but the report concludes that people in developing countries should eat less meat.[5] Apparently Americans are uniquely privileged to die of heart-disease. Perhaps the hospital lobby wants to encourage more business thanks to third-party payors.

The figures on the political contributions and lobbying by agribusinesses (and oil companies) are mind-blowing. For instance, American agribusiness spent a record $165 million on federal lobbying in 2022.[6] A total of $128 million went to political contributions to campaigns in the 2021-2022 cycle.[7] The sheer amounts spent lend credibility to the claim that wealth rather than votes rule: plutocracy over the veneer of democracy in America. The capture of regulatory agencies by the companies or industries being regulated has existed in the academic literature since at least the 1980s. So too has the strategic use of regulation. For example, the capture of methane at farms through technology qualifies for government subsidies, but only the bigger agribusinesses can afford this technology. Additionally, JP Morgan and other large banks have been lending primarily to large agribusinesses because they are less risky than smaller farms. It is no surprise, when all is said and done, that medium and small farms have been going out of business for decades. I submit that this cannot be explained by economies of scale alone.

To be sure, a lot of agribusinesses have pledged to be more transparent on the emissions from operations, but very few of the businesses report on the bulk of their emissions.[8] Transparency only goes so far until entrenched concentrations of economic wealth (e.g., agribusinesses) find that holding the curtains open too much can hurt business. Moreover, both the political donors and their “elected representatives” both have an interest in maintaining the veneer that the public interest is being served. Adam Smith’s invisible hand only works in a competitive market, whereas neither agribusiness nor the market for political donations in Congress is a competitive market. In Wealth of Nations, Smith does not apply the competitive-market price mechanism to government. In fact, political contributions from businesses can be thought of as a special case of price-fixing.

The encroachments of plutocracy on representative democracy are largely hidden from view, and the corruption does seem to be ineluctable. Given large enough concentrations of private wealth, the buying of political power seems inevitable. Smith wrote as much concerning the use of government by managements outweighing the ability of labor unions to do just that. He predicted the strikes and the one-sided involvement of police and even military troops. The cost of plutocracy at the expense of the public good is much more since public good and the viability of our species came to depend on our baleful impact on the earth’s climate and ecosystems.  Even so, the negative impact of a political economy of business is dwarfed by the negative impact from the sheer growth of the human population on this planet since the 1800s. As intractable as the partisan, self-serving, and narrow involvement of business in government is, it would be difficult for a population that has gone from 2 billion to 7 billion in the twentieth century to begin to trim the sails by discouraging population growth. For one thing, reducing the number of potential consumers would be bad for business.


1. Georgina Gustin, “Climate Change and Agriculture,” Yale University, February 22, 2024.
2. Ibid.
3. Ibid.
4. Ibid.
5. Ibid.
6. Madison McVan, “GRAPHIC: Agribusiness Spent a Record-breaking $165 million on Federal Lobbying Last Year,” Investigate Midwest, February 16, 2023.
7.Agribusiness Top Contributors,” Open Secrets.
8. Georgina Gustin, “Climate Change and Agriculture,” Yale University, February 22, 2024.